Computer Simulation using examples from infer
package. Code for quiz 13
Load the R packages that we will use
Set random seed generator to 123
Load data into R, assign it to hr
skim
to summarize the data in hr
skim(hr)
Name | hr |
Number of rows | 500 |
Number of columns | 6 |
_______________________ | |
Column type frequency: | |
factor | 4 |
numeric | 2 |
________________________ | |
Group variables | None |
Variable type: factor
skim_variable | n_missing | complete_rate | ordered | n_unique | top_counts |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
gender | 0 | 1 | FALSE | 2 | mal: 256, fem: 244 |
evaluation | 0 | 1 | FALSE | 4 | bad: 154, fai: 142, goo: 108, ver: 96 |
salary | 0 | 1 | FALSE | 6 | lev: 95, lev: 94, lev: 87, lev: 85 |
status | 0 | 1 | FALSE | 3 | fir: 194, pro: 179, ok: 127 |
Variable type: numeric
skim_variable | n_missing | complete_rate | mean | sd | p0 | p25 | p50 | p75 | p100 | hist |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
age | 0 | 1 | 39.86 | 11.55 | 20.3 | 29.60 | 40.2 | 50.1 | 59.9 | ▇▇▇▇▇ |
hours | 0 | 1 | 49.39 | 13.15 | 35.0 | 37.48 | 45.6 | 58.9 | 79.9 | ▇▃▂▂▂ |
Is the mean number of hours worked per week 48?
specify
that hours
is the variable of interest.Response: hours (numeric)
# A tibble: 500 x 1
hours
<dbl>
1 78.1
2 35.1
3 36.9
4 38.5
5 36.1
6 78.1
7 76
8 35.6
9 35.6
10 56.8
# ... with 490 more rows
hypothesize
that the average hours worked is 48hr %>%
specify(response = hours) %>%
hypothesize(null = "point", mu = 48)
Response: hours (numeric)
Null Hypothesis: point
# A tibble: 500 x 1
hours
<dbl>
1 78.1
2 35.1
3 36.9
4 38.5
5 36.1
6 78.1
7 76
8 35.6
9 35.6
10 56.8
# ... with 490 more rows
generate
1000 replicates representing the null hypothesishr %>%
specify(response = hours) %>%
hypothesize(null = "point", mu = 48) %>%
generate(reps = 1000, type = "bootstrap")
Response: hours (numeric)
Null Hypothesis: point
# A tibble: 500,000 x 2
# Groups: replicate [1,000]
replicate hours
<int> <dbl>
1 1 39.7
2 1 44.3
3 1 46.8
4 1 33.7
5 1 39.6
6 1 39.5
7 1 40.5
8 1 55.8
9 1 72.6
10 1 35.7
# ... with 499,990 more rows
calculate
the distribution of statistics from the generated data
assign output to null_t_distribution
display null_t_distribution
null_t_distribution <- hr %>%
specify(response = age) %>%
hypothesize(null = "point", mu = 48) %>%
generate(reps = 1000, type = "bootstrap") %>%
calculate(stat = "t")
null_t_distribution
Response: age (numeric)
Null Hypothesis: point
# A tibble: 1,000 x 2
replicate stat
<int> <dbl>
1 1 0.144
2 2 -1.72
3 3 0.404
4 4 -1.11
5 5 0.00894
6 6 1.46
7 7 -0.905
8 8 -0.663
9 9 0.291
10 10 3.09
# ... with 990 more rows
null_t_distribution
has 1000 t-stats.visualize
the simulated null distribution.visualise(null_t_distribution)
calculate
the statistic from your observed data.
assign the output to observed_t_statistic
display observed_t_statistic
observed_t_statistic <- hr %>%
specify(response = hours) %>%
hypothesize(null = "point", mu = 48) %>%
calculate(stat = "t")
observed_t_statistic
Response: hours (numeric)
Null Hypothesis: point
# A tibble: 1 x 1
stat
<dbl>
1 2.37
get_p_value
from the simulated null distribution and the observed statistic.null_t_distribution %>%
get_p_value(obs_stat = observed_t_statistic, direction = "two-sided")
# A tibble: 1 x 1
p_value
<dbl>
1 0.014
shade_p_value
on the simulated null distribution.null_t_distribution %>%
visualize() +
shade_p_value(obs_stat = observed_t_statistic, direction = "two-sided")
Is the p-value < 0.05? yes
Does your analysis support the null hypothesis that the true mean number of hours worked was 48? no
hr_2
hr_2 <- read_csv("https://estanny.com/static/week13/data/hr_1_tidy.csv",
col_types = "fddfff")
Is the average number of hours worked the same for both genders in hr_2?
skim
to summarize the data in hr_2
by gender.Name | Piped data |
Number of rows | 500 |
Number of columns | 6 |
_______________________ | |
Column type frequency: | |
factor | 3 |
numeric | 2 |
________________________ | |
Group variables | gender |
Variable type: factor
skim_variable | gender | n_missing | complete_rate | ordered | n_unique | top_counts |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
evaluation | female | 0 | 1 | FALSE | 4 | fai: 81, bad: 71, ver: 57, goo: 51 |
evaluation | male | 0 | 1 | FALSE | 4 | bad: 82, fai: 61, goo: 55, ver: 42 |
salary | female | 0 | 1 | FALSE | 6 | lev: 54, lev: 50, lev: 44, lev: 41 |
salary | male | 0 | 1 | FALSE | 6 | lev: 52, lev: 47, lev: 46, lev: 39 |
status | female | 0 | 1 | FALSE | 3 | fir: 96, pro: 87, ok: 77 |
status | male | 0 | 1 | FALSE | 3 | fir: 89, ok: 76, pro: 75 |
Variable type: numeric
skim_variable | gender | n_missing | complete_rate | mean | sd | p0 | p25 | p50 | p75 | p100 | hist |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
age | female | 0 | 1 | 41.78 | 11.50 | 20.5 | 32.15 | 42.35 | 51.62 | 59.9 | ▆▅▇▆▇ |
age | male | 0 | 1 | 39.32 | 11.55 | 20.2 | 28.70 | 38.55 | 49.52 | 59.7 | ▇▇▆▇▆ |
hours | female | 0 | 1 | 50.32 | 13.23 | 35.0 | 38.38 | 47.80 | 60.40 | 79.7 | ▇▃▃▂▂ |
hours | male | 0 | 1 | 48.24 | 12.95 | 35.0 | 37.00 | 42.40 | 57.00 | 78.1 | ▇▂▂▁▂ |
Females worked an average of 50.3 hours per week.
Males worked an average of 48.2 hours per week.
geom_boxplot
to plot distribution of hours worked by gender.hr_2 %>%
ggplot(aes(x = gender, y = hours)) +
geom_boxplot()
specify
the variables of interest are hours and genderResponse: hours (numeric)
Explanatory: gender (factor)
# A tibble: 500 x 2
hours gender
<dbl> <fct>
1 36.5 female
2 55.8 female
3 35 male
4 52 female
5 35.1 male
6 36.3 female
7 40.1 female
8 42.7 female
9 66.6 male
10 35.5 male
# ... with 490 more rows
hypothesize
that the number of hours worked and gender are independent.hr_2 %>%
specify(response = hours, explanatory = gender) %>%
hypothesize(null = "independence")
Response: hours (numeric)
Explanatory: gender (factor)
Null Hypothesis: independence
# A tibble: 500 x 2
hours gender
<dbl> <fct>
1 36.5 female
2 55.8 female
3 35 male
4 52 female
5 35.1 male
6 36.3 female
7 40.1 female
8 42.7 female
9 66.6 male
10 35.5 male
# ... with 490 more rows
generate
1000 replicates representing the null hypothesishr_2 %>%
specify(response = hours, explanatory = gender) %>%
hypothesize(null = "independence") %>%
generate(reps = 1000, type = "permute")
Response: hours (numeric)
Explanatory: gender (factor)
Null Hypothesis: independence
# A tibble: 500,000 x 3
# Groups: replicate [1,000]
hours gender replicate
<dbl> <fct> <int>
1 36.4 female 1
2 35.8 female 1
3 35.6 male 1
4 39.6 female 1
5 35.8 male 1
6 55.8 female 1
7 63.8 female 1
8 40.3 female 1
9 56.5 male 1
10 50.1 male 1
# ... with 499,990 more rows
calculate
the distribution of statistics from the generated data.
Assign output to null_distribution_2_sample_permute
Display null_distribution_2_sample_permute
null_distribution_2_sample_permute <- hr_2 %>%
specify(response = hours, explanatory = gender) %>%
hypothesize(null = "independence") %>%
generate(reps = 1000, type = "permute") %>%
calculate(stat = "t", order = c("female", "male"))
null_distribution_2_sample_permute
Response: hours (numeric)
Explanatory: gender (factor)
Null Hypothesis: independence
# A tibble: 1,000 x 2
replicate stat
<int> <dbl>
1 1 -0.208
2 2 -0.328
3 3 -2.28
4 4 0.528
5 5 1.60
6 6 0.795
7 7 1.24
8 8 -3.31
9 9 0.517
10 10 0.949
# ... with 990 more rows
null_t_distribution
has 1000 t-stats.visualize
the simulated null distribution.visualize(null_distribution_2_sample_permute)
calculate
the statistic from your observed data.
Assign the output to observed_t_2_sample_stat
Display observed_t_2_sample_stat
observed_t_2_sample_stat <- hr_2 %>%
specify(response = hours, explanatory = gender) %>%
calculate(stat = "t", order = c("female", "male"))
observed_t_2_sample_stat
Response: hours (numeric)
Explanatory: gender (factor)
# A tibble: 1 x 1
stat
<dbl>
1 1.78
get_p_value
from your simulated null distribution and the observed statisticnull_t_distribution %>%
get_p_value(obs_stat = observed_t_2_sample_stat, direction = "two-sided")
# A tibble: 1 x 1
p_value
<dbl>
1 0.086
shade_p_value
on the simulated null distribution.null_t_distribution %>%
visualize() +
shade_p_value(obs_stat = observed_t_2_sample_stat, direction = "two-sided")
Is the p-value < 0.05? no
Does your analysis support the null hypothesis that the true mean number of hours worked by female and male employees was the same? yes
hr_anova
hr_anova <- read_csv("https://estanny.com/static/week13/data/hr_2_tidy.csv",
col_types = "fddfff")
Is the average number of hours worked the same for all three status (fired, ok, & promoted)?
skim
to summarize the data into hr_anova
by status
Name | Piped data |
Number of rows | 500 |
Number of columns | 6 |
_______________________ | |
Column type frequency: | |
factor | 3 |
numeric | 2 |
________________________ | |
Group variables | status |
Variable type: factor
skim_variable | status | n_missing | complete_rate | ordered | n_unique | top_counts |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
gender | promoted | 0 | 1 | FALSE | 2 | mal: 90, fem: 89 |
gender | fired | 0 | 1 | FALSE | 2 | fem: 101, mal: 93 |
gender | ok | 0 | 1 | FALSE | 2 | mal: 73, fem: 54 |
evaluation | promoted | 0 | 1 | FALSE | 4 | goo: 70, ver: 62, fai: 24, bad: 23 |
evaluation | fired | 0 | 1 | FALSE | 4 | bad: 78, fai: 72, goo: 25, ver: 19 |
evaluation | ok | 0 | 1 | FALSE | 4 | bad: 53, fai: 46, ver: 15, goo: 13 |
salary | promoted | 0 | 1 | FALSE | 6 | lev: 42, lev: 42, lev: 39, lev: 34 |
salary | fired | 0 | 1 | FALSE | 6 | lev: 54, lev: 44, lev: 34, lev: 24 |
salary | ok | 0 | 1 | FALSE | 6 | lev: 32, lev: 31, lev: 26, lev: 19 |
Variable type: numeric
skim_variable | status | n_missing | complete_rate | mean | sd | p0 | p25 | p50 | p75 | p100 | hist |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
age | promoted | 0 | 1 | 40.63 | 11.25 | 20.4 | 30.75 | 41.10 | 50.25 | 59.9 | ▆▇▇▇▇ |
age | fired | 0 | 1 | 40.03 | 11.53 | 20.3 | 29.45 | 40.40 | 50.08 | 59.9 | ▇▅▇▆▆ |
age | ok | 0 | 1 | 38.50 | 11.98 | 20.3 | 28.15 | 38.70 | 49.45 | 59.9 | ▇▆▅▅▆ |
hours | promoted | 0 | 1 | 59.21 | 12.66 | 35.0 | 49.75 | 58.90 | 70.65 | 79.9 | ▅▆▇▇▇ |
hours | fired | 0 | 1 | 41.67 | 8.37 | 35.0 | 36.10 | 38.45 | 43.40 | 77.7 | ▇▂▁▁▁ |
hours | ok | 0 | 1 | 47.35 | 10.86 | 35.0 | 37.10 | 45.70 | 54.50 | 78.9 | ▇▅▃▂▁ |
Employees that were fired worked an average of 41.7 hours per week.
Employees that were ok worked an average of 47.4 hours per week.
Employees that were promoted worked an average of 59.2 hours per week.
geom_boxplot
to plot distributions of hours worked by status.hr_anova %>%
ggplot(aes(x = status, y = hours)) +
geom_boxplot()
specify
the variables of interest are hours
and status
Response: hours (numeric)
Explanatory: status (factor)
# A tibble: 500 x 2
hours status
<dbl> <fct>
1 78.1 promoted
2 35.1 fired
3 36.9 fired
4 38.5 fired
5 36.1 fired
6 78.1 promoted
7 76 promoted
8 35.6 fired
9 35.6 ok
10 56.8 promoted
# ... with 490 more rows
hypothesize
that the number of hours worked and status are independent.hr_anova %>%
specify(response = hours, explanatory = status) %>%
hypothesise(null = "independence")
Response: hours (numeric)
Explanatory: status (factor)
Null Hypothesis: independence
# A tibble: 500 x 2
hours status
<dbl> <fct>
1 78.1 promoted
2 35.1 fired
3 36.9 fired
4 38.5 fired
5 36.1 fired
6 78.1 promoted
7 76 promoted
8 35.6 fired
9 35.6 ok
10 56.8 promoted
# ... with 490 more rows
generate
1000 replicates representing the null hypothesishr_anova %>%
specify(response = hours, explanatory = status) %>%
hypothesise(null = "independence") %>%
generate(reps = 1000, type = "permute")
Response: hours (numeric)
Explanatory: status (factor)
Null Hypothesis: independence
# A tibble: 500,000 x 3
# Groups: replicate [1,000]
hours status replicate
<dbl> <fct> <int>
1 41.9 promoted 1
2 36.7 fired 1
3 35 fired 1
4 58.9 fired 1
5 36.1 fired 1
6 39.4 promoted 1
7 54.3 promoted 1
8 59.2 fired 1
9 40.2 ok 1
10 35.3 promoted 1
# ... with 499,990 more rows
calculate
the distribution of statistics from generated data
Assign the output to null_distribution_anova
Display null_distribution_anova
null_distribution_anova <- hr_anova %>%
specify(response = hours, explanatory = status) %>%
hypothesise(null = "independence") %>%
generate(reps = 1000, type = "permute") %>%
calculate(stat = "F")
null_distribution_anova
Response: hours (numeric)
Explanatory: status (factor)
Null Hypothesis: independence
# A tibble: 1,000 x 2
replicate stat
<int> <dbl>
1 1 0.312
2 2 2.85
3 3 0.369
4 4 0.142
5 5 0.511
6 6 2.73
7 7 1.06
8 8 0.171
9 9 0.310
10 10 1.11
# ... with 990 more rows
null_distribution_anova
has 1000 F-stats.visualize
the statistic from your observed data.visualise(null_distribution_anova)
calculate
the statistic from your observed data.
Assign the output to observed_f_sample_stat
Display observed_f_sample_stat
observed_f_sample_stat <- hr_anova %>%
specify(response = hours, explanatory = status) %>%
calculate(stat = "F")
observed_f_sample_stat
Response: hours (numeric)
Explanatory: status (factor)
# A tibble: 1 x 1
stat
<dbl>
1 128.
get_p_value
from the simulated null distribution and the observed statistic.null_distribution_anova %>%
get_p_value(obs_stat = observed_f_sample_stat, direction = "greater")
# A tibble: 1 x 1
p_value
<dbl>
1 0
shade_p_value
on the simulated null distribution.null_t_distribution %>%
visualize() +
shade_p_value(obs_stat = observed_f_sample_stat, direction = "greater")
Is the p-value < 0.05? yes
Does your analysis support the null hypothesis that the true means of the number of hours worked for those that were “fired”, “ok” and “promoted” were the same? no